sobota, 25 stycznia 2020

Werner Heisenberg und die Frage nach der Wirklichkeit

Werner Heisenberg und die Frage nach der Wirklichke



14,9 tys. subskrypcji

Hans-Peter Dürr, Anton Zeilinger und Martin Heisenberg über Leben und Werk des grossen Wissenschaftlers (Vollständige Fassung). Kapitel: Die Poesie der Physik - Was die Welt im Innersten zusammenhält - Unschärferelation - Die Angst vor der Bombe - Die Verantwortung des Wissenschaftlers - Der Teil und das Ganze (BR alpha 2011). Teil der Sammlung/Playlist "Werner Heisenberg - Vorträge, Gespräche und ein Portrait" hier: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list...



piątek, 10 stycznia 2020

Trump Threatens Iranian Cultural Sites, and Warns of Sanctions on Iraq

Politics|Trump Threatens Iranian Cultural Sites, and Warns of Sanctions on Iraq






  • Trump Threatens Iranian Cultural Sites, and Warns of Sanctions on Iraq

    The president threatened Iran over potential retaliation for the death of a top general, and Iraq over the potential expulsion of United States troops.
    "They're allowed to kill our people. They're allowed to torture and maim our people. They're allowed to use roadside bombs and blow up our people," President Trump said Sunday aboard Air Force One. "And we're not allowed to touch their cultural site? It doesn't work that way."Credit...Eric Thayer for The New York Times
    • Published Jan. 5, 2020Updated Jan. 7, 2020






  • WASHINGTON — President Trump on Sunday evening doubled down on his claim that he would target Iranian cultural sites if Iran retaliated for the targeted killing of one of its top generals, and threatened "very big sanctions" on Iraq if American troops are forced to leave the country.
    Aboard Air Force One on his way back from his holiday trip to Florida, Mr. Trump reiterated to reporters the spirit of a Twitter post on Saturday, when he said the United States government had identified 52 sites for retaliation against Iran if there were a response to Maj. Gen. Qassim Suleimani's death. Some, he tweeted, were of "cultural" significance.
    Such a move could be considered a war crime under international laws, but Mr. Trump said Sunday that he was undeterred.
    "They're allowed to kill our people. They're allowed to torture and maim our people. They're allowed to use roadside bombs and blow up our people," the president said. "And we're not allowed to touch their cultural site? It doesn't work that way."
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    The remarks came just hours after the secretary of state, Mike Pompeo, walked back Mr. Trump's tweets and said that whatever was done in any military engagement with Iran would be within the bounds of the law.
    Mr. Trump also sounded fatalistic about the possibility of an Iranian escalation.
    "If it happens, it happens," he said. "If they do anything, there will be major retaliation"
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    Listen to 'The Daily': The Assassination of General Qassim Suleimani

    We piece together the events leading up to the killing of one of the most powerful operatives in the Middle East, a strike that has been called an act of war.
    transcript

    29:60/29:58

    Listen to 'The Daily': The Assassination of General Qassim Suleimani

    Hosted by Michael Barbaro, produced by Alexandra Leigh Young and Rachel Quester, and edited by Lisa Tobin

    We piece together the events leading up to the killing of one of the most powerful operatives in the Middle East, a strike that has been called an act of war.

    michael barbaro
    From The New York Times, I'm Michael Barbaro. This is "The Daily."
    Today: From Iraq to Washington, consequences are mounting after the United States assassinated Iranian General Qassim Suleimani. Helene Cooper on why President Trump chose to do it. It's Monday, January 6.
    Helene, what do we know about what led up to this extraordinary decision by the U.S. to take out General Suleimani?
    helene cooper
    Well, from what we've been able to piece together over the past few days, all of this started on December 27.
    archived recording
    And just into Fox, an American contractor was just killed in northern Iraq in a rocket attack, and several U.S. troops were also injured.
    helene cooper
    When an Iranian-backed Shiite militia group launched an attack in Iraq that ended up killing an American contractor.
    archived recording
    This is just the latest in a spate of similar rocket attacks, but it's the first time that we're actually seeing U.S. casualties.
    helene cooper
    Right after this happened, the Pentagon drew up the perennial list of options that the Defense Department is always keeping for the president to respond and decide what he's going to do in order to respond to the attack. General Mark Milley, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and Defense Secretary Mark Esper both flew to Mar-a-Lago, where President Trump was spending the holidays, and met with him, presenting him this list of how do you respond to what the administration immediately determined was an Iranian-backed attack. One option included striking Iranian ships. Another option was striking, perhaps, a missile site or two, or looking for a way to launch airstrikes against the Iranian-backed Shiite militias in Iraq that had started this. Also on the list was one extreme option, which was to launch an attack, which would really be a targeted assassination, actually, of General Qassim Suleimani, who is the head of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps's Quds Force, and it's basically Iran's very muscular, yet covert, arm of the Iranian military. He's, in essence, the most senior military commander in Iran. This is something that the Defense Department often does, is they will put an extreme option on the table because they will always give all options to the president, but it's almost their way of nudging the president toward an option that they prefer, right? If you put something that is viewed as a little bit crazy out there, then you get him to do what you want. President Trump, at the time, did not choose the nuclear option.
    archived recording (mike pompeo)
    What we did was take a decisive response that makes clear what President Trump has said for months and months and months, which is that we will not stand for the Islamic Republic of Iran to take actions that put American men and women in jeopardy.
    helene cooper
    He went for, let's launch an attack on the Shiite militia group that launched the attack that killed the American contractor.
    archived recording 1
    The Pentagon says it carried out military strikes in Iraq and Syria, targeting a militia group.
    archived recording 2
    A spokesman for the group says U.S. airstrikes killed at least 25 of their fighters and hurt more than 50 others. This happened in Iraq and Syria yesterday.
    michael barbaro
    So the president, in the end, chooses a pretty measured kind of tit-for-tat response. We were attacked by missiles, so we will attack with missiles.
    helene cooper
    Exactly, and we'll attack who attacked us.
    michael barbaro
    Got it.
    archived recording (mark esper)
    I would add that, in our discussion today with the president, we discussed with him other options that are available, and I would note also that we will take additional actions as necessary to ensure that we act in our own self-defense, and we deter further bad behavior from militia groups or from Iran.
    helene cooper
    So then, a couple of days later, President Trump is still at Mar-a-Lago, and he's watching TV. He's still angry about the initial Shiite militia attack that killed the American contractor, but now he's seeing, on TV, all of these video images of Iranian-backed protesters attacking the American Embassy in Baghdad.
    archived recording 1
    A chaotic scene as protesters stormed the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad today, scaling the walls, forcing the gates, and setting fires inside the heavily guarded compound while diplomats were trapped inside. Some protesters were chanting, "Death to America."
    archived recording 2
    [CHANTING]
    helene cooper
    And one of the first things that come to his mind is Benghazi and the attack on the American Consulate in Benghazi in 2011 that led to the death of four Americans, including the ambassador to Libya.
    michael barbaro
    Which was an attack of protesters —
    helene cooper
    Yes.
    michael barbaro
    — on an American, essentially, embassy-like building.
    helene cooper
    Yes.
    archived recording
    How would you have handled that, if you were watching, in real time, Americans under fire at the American Consulate, and an ambassador under fire?
    archived recording (donald trump)
    Well, it would have never taken place, because I think —
    helene cooper
    President Trump, during his campaign, and for years after the initial attack in Benghazi, really went after Hillary Clinton, who was secretary of state at the time, for not doing enough to prevent that. And this had been a rallying cry during his 2016 campaign, so this was a pretty big deal for him.
    archived recording (donald trump)
    Horribly handled. A horrible leadership. She's a horrible leader.
    helene cooper
    So he's watching, now, these attacks that are happening under his own watch, and he's thinking about Benghazi, according to his aides that we talked to. He's also thinking about the 1979 attack on the American Embassy in Iran that led to the hostage crisis. He's getting more and more angry, according to his aides, and then he calls for his menu of options again, and this time, he picks the extreme option.
    michael barbaro
    And so this is the moment when the president calls for the strike on Suleimani, this top general.
    helene cooper
    That's right. Pentagon officials and administration officials were very surprised, because it's one thing to give an option to a president. It's another thing for him to actually do it. They had put that option on the menu for President Trump, not thinking that he would take it, and now he has taken it. So the Defense Department went into action. This is something that the American Defense Department, quite tragically, almost, is very good at doing. We know how to kill people, and we have been tracking, for more than a decade, almost two decades, Qassim Suleimani. So intelligence-wise, we had intelligence reports that he would be flying into Baghdad International Airport that night. There was some question now, as the military is setting up, just sort of the mechanics of how this strike is going to be conducted. The Pentagon had determined that, if he was met, for instance, by Iraqi officials who were friendly towards the United States, they would not go ahead with the strike. If he was not, they would. When General Suleimani's plane landed, he was met by the head of one of Iraq's Iranian-backed Shia militias, who was viewed by the United States as somebody who — I think the phrase they used was a "clean party," meaning it's O.K. to kill him. It's kind of a weird way of saying it.
    michael barbaro
    So a clean party means somebody we don't mind killing?
    helene cooper
    Exactly. Exactly. And so they authorized the strike and blew up the two-car convoy as it was leaving Baghdad International Airport.
    archived recording 1
    In a dramatic escalation of tensions in the Middle East, a U.S. airstrike has killed Iran's most important military commander.
    archived recording 2
    This was a swift, precise military strike that has huge, unpredictable and possibly long-term consequences.
    michael barbaro
    So help us to understand the significance of this decision by the president. Why was this ever an option given to him, even if it was the most extreme option? And why do we think he chose it?
    helene cooper
    It's hard to explain why President Trump chose to take this option. I think many of us don't understand it ourselves. The administration will tell you that he's a very bad guy, and there's no denying that. The administration will also tell you that he's responsible for the death of hundreds of American troops. That is true as well. The issue, though — that has been true for years and years, as American troops have battled some Iranian-backed Shia militias in Iraq, and both Presidents Bush and Obama made the decision not to kill Suleimani because he was a general with the Iranian military, and the United States traditionally does not go around assassinating military generals. The last time we did this was in 1943 during World War II, when we took out a Japanese admiral. Iran is a sovereign state. Assassinating one of their officials is pretty much almost the same thing as assassinating the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or a high-ranking American official, and then own up to it and take credit for it. It's just not something that is normally often done in broad daylight. But we should also remember that, just a month ago, President Trump authorized the killing of Baghdadi that ISIS had, and he got a lot of very good and deserved credit for that. The administration now, today, will try to make the equivalent that General Suleimani is the same as Baghdadi, that he's a terrorist, and he has certainly been behind many proxy terrorist acts by Iranian-backed groups in Yemen, in Lebanon, in Iraq and in Syria. So that has been increasing in recent months as the United States has choked off Iran economically.
    archived recording 1
    We're following multiple breaking stories, including Iran's seizure of at least one oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz today, and there are now conflicting reports about whether a second tanker was seized. Iran is clearly messaging that they hold cards here, but as this continues to go on, what will Iran continue to do?
    archived recording 2
    Well, you know, Brianna, I think it's important that we understand what's motivating Iran right now. Look, since the United States pulled out of the Iran nuclear deal, and the administration imposed new sanctions on Iran, those sanctions have absolutely crippled Iran's economy.
    helene cooper
    That led the Iranian regime to start, as a lot of people at the Pentagon say, acting out, and you saw an increase in attacks from Iran, which has been punching out because it was being punched. And that is one of the reasons that the administration has now given for why this strike was taken. The other big reason, though, leads back to this, which is that the administration is saying that Suleimani was planning additional, even more high-profile attacks on the United States and on American interests and assets in the region, and that this was eminent.
    archived recording (mike pompeo)
    We could see that he was continuing down this path, that there were in fact plots that he was working on that were aimed directly at significant harm to American interests throughout the region, not just in Iraq.
    helene cooper
    You know, you're hearing that from General Milley, the head of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. You heard that on Sunday from Secretary of State Pompeo.
    archived recording (mike pompeo)
    We would've been culpably negligent had we not taken this action. The American people would have said that we weren't doing the right thing to protect and defend American lives.
    helene cooper
    Which is the argument that Suleimani was about to launch another imminent attack on American interests.
    michael barbaro
    Helene, of all the rationales that we've heard from the Trump administration, this seems to be the most important in terms of explaining why we would do this now, take out Suleimani. But of course, the U.S. has a very complicated history of using potential threats to American interests as a rationale for actions overseas, especially in the Middle East. So what does your reporting show about how we should be thinking about this explanation of an imminent attack?
    helene cooper
    That's such an interesting and key question, how we should be thinking about the administration rationale for this attack. Do we believe them, or do we not? Our reporting shows that it depends on where you stand. There is no question that General Suleimani has planned, and was continuing to plan, attacks against the United States through these groups, but that's been going on for more than 15 years. So the question then becomes, why now? The administration says there was something imminent and big that was about to happen, and they appear to be basing that on intelligence reports that they've received about General Suleimani's travels in the last few days leading up to the attack that took his life. But these same intel sources also say that he had been asked by Ayatollah Khamenei, who's the supreme leader of Iran, to come back to Iran, that Khomeini had not authorized anything. He had requested permission, and he was not given it, and he was told to come back to Iran. So that then belies the whole question of "imminent." Does it become something that is happening in two days, or something that hasn't even been approved yet? So what the administration, then, will have to answer to the American people, if this leads to war, which it might, is whether or not this assassination was worth it.
    [music]

    michael barbaro
    We'll be right back.
    Helene, what has been the response in the Middle East in the days since the U.S. killed Suleimani?
    helene cooper
    The response since the U.S. killed Suleimani in the Middle East has been huge.
    archived recording
    [YELLING AND CHANTING]
    helene cooper
    In Iran, where protesters had, two weeks ago, been protesting against the regime, they had now united, apparently, behind the regime, and had turned their ire on the United States.
    archived recording
    [YELLING AND CHANTING]
    helene cooper
    You're seeing these familiar views of American flags being burned in the streets.
    archived recording
    [PROTESTORS SPEAKING]
    helene cooper
    This massive outpouring of mourners.
    It's certainly ramped up the anti-American sentiment in Iran.
    archived recording
    [MOURNING PRAYER]
    helene cooper
    Meanwhile, in Baghdad, you're seeing similar outpourings of grief, but that's been accompanied by the Iraqi Parliament voting unanimously this morning to expel the United States from Iraq. They didn't put forth a timeline for withdrawal, so there's still some wiggle room there. But particularly the Shiites and the Iraqi government are very, very angry at the United States right now.
    archived recording
    [YELLING AND CHANTING]
    helene cooper
    You have to understand that Iraq is made up of three very distinct groups — Shiites, Sunnis and Kurds — but it is predominantly Shiite. Iran is Shiite as well, and the Iraqi government is very close to Iran. The Shiites in Iraq are particularly close to General Suleimani and view him, in many ways, as one of their own. They're also upset, though, because this was a targeted killing in their country. So in much the same way that if something like this happened in the United States, the United States government would be upset. That's another reason why the Iraqi government is so angry.
    michael barbaro
    Helene, can Iraq and its legislature do that? Can they kick the U.S. troops out of the country?
    helene cooper
    They can. Iraq can say, you are no longer welcome. Remember, we are there at the invitation of the Iraqi government, ostensibly to fight the Islamic State. That battle is largely over. So yes, the Iraqi government can kick the United States military out of Iraq. Whether they do or not, whether this is posturing, I don't know yet. Every couple of hours, you see something else. Right after the Iraqi Parliament voted, we saw the Pentagon announced that it was suspending the anti-ISIS coalition effort in Iraq. There are 4,000 American troops who've been there, and that the troops who are in Iraq will be focused on protecting the American citizens who are still in the country, but who are being advised to leave as soon as possible. It's like 2013 all over again, when the Obama administration ended combat and pulled troops out of Iraq. And you saw the rise of ISIS because once the United States is gone and out of the country, these other factions are given more room to maneuver and more room to thrive. And so you can see how these events could lead to a resurgence of ISIS if the ground becomes clear for them to move around more freely.
    michael barbaro
    And wasn't Suleimani also leading an Iranian militia that was an enemy of ISIS?
    helene cooper
    Yes, there was a de facto cooperation between Suleimani and the United States in the fight against ISIS. They were both opposed to ISIS, and they were both fighting ISIS on the same turf.
    michael barbaro
    Right, which would have made, in a very narrow and complicated way, Suleimani an ally in our fight against ISIS, even though he's our enemy in many other respects.
    helene cooper
    He was an ally in our fight against ISIS. That is correct.
    [music]

    michael barbaro
    Helene, the ripple effects of all this are very complicated, but I wonder if there's a simple way of thinking about this, which is that after all these months of provocation and response between the U.S. and Iran, that President Trump felt it was time for the U.S. to remind Iran that, at the end of the day, we are the military superpower, and our advantages over them are extraordinary and represent the kind of deterrent that means, whatever Iran's ultimate response to this is, it will not be all that severe — that, in a sense, we just called Iran's bluff.
    helene cooper
    That would work if we hadn't started this to begin with by pulling out of the Iranian nuclear deal, which was signed in 2015 under the Obama administration, and which was hated by President Trump and many Republicans.
    archived recording (donald trump)
    I have been in business a long time. I know deal-making, and let me tell you, this deal is catastrophic for America, for Israel, and for the whole of the Middle East.
    helene cooper
    They viewed it as too weak, and said that it gave Iran rewards, as it did, by lifting sanctions for stopping their uranium enrichment, but did not address Iran's misbehavior, and this is the General Suleimani-type misbehavior, in other areas.
    archived recording (donald trump)
    The problem here is fundamental. We've rewarded the world's leading state sponsor of terror with $150 billion, and we received absolutely nothing in return.
    helene cooper
    When we pulled out of the nuclear deal, we reimposed sanctions on Iran, and put even stiffer sanctions on the country. We started to punish companies and basically told the world, you either do business with Iran, or you do business with America. And of course, most of the world chose America. That had the result of completely putting a strangle on the Iranian economy, and that is kind of what has led to the Iranian regime then starting escalating attacks against the United States, because this is a hard-line regime, and they clearly believe that if they're hurting, they're going to pull the United States down into the mud with them.
    michael barbaro
    But doesn't it still stand to reason that if that is the situation that we are in, in a post-nuclear deal world, where Iran decides that the only way that it can operate is with attacks through militias that it organizes against the U.S., that taking out a person like Suleimani is a reasonable option, given our superiority over Iran? We have nuclear weapons. They do not. We have superpower military capabilities. They do not. That doesn't leave them with a whole lot of options. Does it?
    helene cooper
    Back in the '80s, there was this tanker war, where Iran, Iraq and the U.S. were all going after each other. And they made the Persian Gulf an impossible place, and the price of oil went way up. And it ended up with the United States, by mistake, shooting down an Iranian passenger jet. And Iran made a lot of noise after that happened, and then they quieted down. So there is precedent for that, but I think it's easily as much of a chance that they don't quiet. Iran has a whole lot of options to make us hurt. Certainly, the United States is much better equipped, but unless we're actually suggesting that we're going to drop a nuclear bomb on downtown Tehran, it's never that easy once you get into a conventional war. So we went to war in Iraq, which lasted years, and which we are still seeing some of the consequences from. A war with Iran would be so much worse than any kind of war with Iraq. They're way more sophisticated than Iraq ever was. They have the ability to make it hurt. So the question can be phrased as, is the United States willing to give up the blood and treasure it would take to subdue Iran? Which of course, it could, but it's going to cost us something. So are we willing to pay that fee?
    [music]

    michael barbaro
    Helene, thank you. Thank you for talking to us on a Sunday. Thank you.
    helene cooper
    Thank you, Michael.
    michael barbaro
    For everything. We appreciate it.
    helene cooper
    All right, bye-bye.
    michael barbaro
    On Sunday, Iran's leaders and their allies began to openly discuss plans for retaliation against the United States, saying that they would target America's military bases and its soldiers. In an interview with CNN, a high-level adviser to Iran's supreme leader said, quote, "The only thing that can end this period of war is for the Americans to receive a blow that is equal to the blow that they have inflicted." On Twitter, President Trump warned Iran against such a response, writing, quote, "They attacked us, & we hit back. If they attack again, which I would strongly advise them not to do, we will hit them harder than they have ever been hit before!"
    We'll be right back.
    Here's what else you need to know today.
    archived recording (elizabeth warren)
    Look, it was a targeted attack on a government official, a high-ranking military official for the government of Iran, and what it's done has moved this country closer to war. We are not safer today than we were before Donald Trump acted.
    michael barbaro
    In interviews on Sunday, the leading Democratic candidates for president, including Senator Elizabeth Warren and Mayor Pete Buttigieg, on CNN, challenged the Trump administration's rationale for killing General Suleimani and predicted that it could backfire on the U.S.
    archived recording (pete buttigieg)
    Now, let's be clear, Qassim Suleimani was a bad figure. He has American blood on his hands. None of us should shed a tear for his death. But just because he deserved it doesn't mean it was the right strategic move. This is about consequences.
    michael barbaro
    In a statement, former Vice President Joe Biden said that the president, quote, "just tossed a stick of dynamite into a tinderbox," and Senator Bernie Sanders, at a campaign stop, accused the president of violating his campaign pledge.
    archived recording (bernie sanders)
    Trump promised to end endless wars. Tragically, his actions now put us on the path to another war, potentially one that could be even worse than before.
    michael barbaro
    And Australia's government said that it would deploy the country's military to fight a set of catastrophic fires that have already burned more than 12 million acres, an area larger than Switzerland, killed at least 24 people, and killed or injured hundreds of millions of animals. The Times reports that the fires are now so large and hot that they are creating their own weather patterns, further fueling the blazes. That's it for "The Daily." I'm Michael Barbaro. See you tomorrow.
    As the president spoke, six advisers crowded to the side of Mr. Trump's desk in the cabin, near the doorway: Robert O'Brien, his national security adviser; Jared Kushner, his son-in-law and senior adviser; Ivanka Trump, his daughter and senior adviser; Mick Mulvaney, the acting White House chief of staff; Hogan Gidley, a deputy press secretary; and Dan Scavino, the White House social media director. The president had a football game on the television affixed to the wall.
    Mr. Trump also vowed to impose sanctions on Iraq if a move to evict American military personnel from the country takes place, a possibility heightened by the Iraqi Parliament's passage Sunday of a measure to expel foreign troops in response to the killing of General Suleimani. That strike took place in Iraq, in a move that officials saw as violating the country's sovereignty.
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    "We have a very extraordinarily expensive air base that's there," Mr. Trump said of Iraq. "It cost billions of dollars to build. Long before my time. We're not leaving unless they pay us back for it."
    Mr. Trump then escalated his language, saying: "If they do ask us to leave, if we don't do it in a very friendly basis, we will charge them sanctions like they've never seen before ever. It'll make Iranian sanctions look somewhat tame."
    "If there's any hostility, that they do anything we think is inappropriate, we are going to put sanctions on Iraq, very big sanctions on Iraq," Mr. Trump added.
    In making his warning, the president was threatening sanctions on a country for forcing out American troops whom he himself had pledged to bring home during his 2016 presidential campaign.
    The threat also underscored the growing fallout from the president's decision regarding General Suleimani.
    The president said in tweets and in a statement on Friday about the strike that General Suleimani's "reign of terror" was over, and he spoke about the hundreds of deaths for which the commander was responsible.
    Officials have said the United States was retaliating against Iran, first for the death of an American contractor, and then for attacks at the American Embassy in Iraq led by pro-Iranian forces.
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    Officials have also said they had intelligence that General Suleimani was involved in planning "imminent" attacks on American interests in other countries, a statement that some government officials have questioned.
    Mr. Trump told reporters that he might discuss making some of the intelligence available to a skeptical public nearly 17 years after the war in Iraq began on the basis of intelligence that proved not to be credible.
    Mr. Trump also insisted he had been personally tracking General Suleimani for about 18 months. "He was leading his country down a very bad, dangerous path," he said.
    Maggie Haberman is a White House correspondent. She joined The Times in 2015 as a campaign correspondent and was part of a team that won a Pulitzer Prize in 2018 for reporting on Donald Trump's advisers and their connections to Russia. Previously, she worked at Politico, The New York Post and The New York Daily News. @maggieNYT
    A version of this article appears in print on Jan. 6, 2020, Section A, Page 8 of the New York edition with the headline: President Repeats Threat To Target Cultural Sites. Order Reprints | Today's Paper | Subscribe





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    Fwd: Newsletter - Erdgasdrehscheibe Deutschland



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    Date: śr., 8 sty 2020 o 22:41
    Subject: Newsletter - Erdgasdrehscheibe Deutschland
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    Newsletter - Erdgasdrehscheibe Deutschland
    (Eigener Bericht) - Trotz der jüngsten US-Sanktionen gegen Nord Stream 2 hat zu Jahresbeginn EUGAL, die Anschlusspipeline für die deutsch-russische Erdgasleitung, ihren Betrieb aufgenommen. Erste Gaslieferungen, entnommen aus Nord Stream 1, strömten in Richtung deutsch-tschechische Grenze, wo EUGAL an das zentraleuropäische Erdgasnetz angeschlossen ist. Experten wiesen schon vor Jahren darauf hin, Deutschland werde mit Nord Stream 2 eine "zentrale Erdgasdrehscheibe auf dem europäischen Markt". In besonderem Maß begünstigt das die Kasseler BASF-Tochterfirma Wintershall. Washington ist es gelungen, die Fertigstellung der Pipeline mit neuen Sanktionen wohl bis Ende dieses Jahres zu verzögern. Ein Drohbrief, mit dem US-Senatoren ein Schweizer Unternehmen ultimativ aufforderten, die Arbeit an Nord Stream 2 einzustellen, ist unlängst bekannt geworden. Darin heißt es etwa: "Stoppen Sie JETZT und lassen Sie die Pipeline unfertig zurück ..., oder Sie riskieren, Ihr Unternehmen für immer aufzugeben". Deutsche Manager dringen darauf, im Kampf gegen US-Sanktionen vom Dollar auf den Euro umzusteigen.
    Weiterlesen
    https://www.german-foreign-policy.com/news/detail/8149/
    (...)

    wtorek, 7 stycznia 2020

    Fwd: The Evening: Iranian Threats, European Troops, Glory and More



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    Good Evening,

    It's Tuesday, January 7th.

    Iran Threatens Retaliation

    Iranian officials issued calls for attacks in response to the killing of Maj. Gen. Qassem Soleimani, raising the risk of a direct confrontation between U.S. and Iranian forces and prompting the U.S. to take steps to protect its troops in the Middle East, as the WSJ's Aresu Eqbali, Alex Leary, and Jared Malsin report.

    Dive Deeper: "Containing Tehran: Understanding Iran's Power and Exploiting Its Vulnerabilities," by CSIS's Seth Jones.

    "Who Is Esmail Qaani, the New Chief Commander of Iran's Qods Force?" by the Washington Institute's Ali Alfoneh.

    "Does the U.S. Strike on Soleimani Break Legal Norms?" by CFR's John Bellinger III.

    Imminent Threat

    Defense Secretary Mark Esper said today the United States wants to de-escalate tensions with Iran, but the country is ready to finish any war that could be started, as Reuters reports.

    And, in an appearance on Tuesday, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo did not provide any new details on what prompted the killing of General Suleimani. But he said that Iran posed a threat to American lives, as the NYT reports.

    Europeans Shift Troops From Iraq

    U.S. allies said Tuesday that they were reducing and repositioning troops inside Iraq amid fears that Iran will retaliate for the killing of Soleimani, and some European diplomats expressed fears that the shifting of troops would diminish their ability to fight the Islamic State, as the Washington Post's Michael Birnbaum and Rick Noack report.

    CSIS Executive Education

    Join CSIS March 11-13 for our course, Belt, Road, and Beyond. Work with leading experts and the Reconnecting Asia Project to explore what the BRI is, what it is not, and how it is impacting commercial and strategic realities on the ground.

    Video Shorts

    Check out CSIS's new series of video shorts: "Testify," "What's Happening," "Preview," and  "High Resolution." And don't forget to subscribe to the CSIS YouTube Channel!

    In That Number

    4,200

    More than 4,200 protests against the Iranian government took place across nearly every province of the country between January 2018 and October 2019.

    Source: CSIS, "Containing Tehran: Understanding Iran's Power and Exploiting Its Vulnerabilities"

    Critical Quote

    "We are not looking to start a war with Iran, but we are prepared to finish one."

    — Defense Secretary Mark Esper

    iDeas Lab

    CSIS
    CSIS's Missile Threat microsite analyzes Iran's missile arsenal and capabilities.

    The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.

    Optics

    CSIS
    (Photo credit: Win McNamee/Getty Images). Secretary of State Mike Pompeo today at the State Department.

    Recommended Reading

    "The Future of America's Contest With China," by the New Yorker's Evan Osnos.

    This Town Tomorrow

    At 9:30 a.m., CSIS will hold a discussion with Thane Gustafson, a professor of government at Georgetown University and a senior director at IHS Markit, for a discussion on his new book, The Bridge: Natural Gas in a Redivided Europe. 

    Later, at 2:00 p.m., CSIS will host four scholars to examine Japan's leadership role in international and regional institutions and avenues for U.S.-Japan cooperation in the future.

    Video

    CSIS today hosted the second annual Ocean Security Forum, which explored two themes: human rights violations in the seafood supply chain and China's maritime silk road. Watch the full event here.

    Podcasts

    Die Welt
    In this episode, the Trade Guys kick off 2020 by looking ahead at what will happen this year in trade, from the European Union to Brexit and China. They also discuss Senator Elizabeth Warren's endorsement of the USMCA.

    Listen on Spotify & Apple Podcasts.

    Smiles

    Over the holidays I finally saw the David Crosby documentary "Remember My Name," by filmmaker Cameron Crowe. It's an extraordinary film, heartbreaking at times but ultimately about Croz's survival and continuing relevance. Since 2014, Croz has released four stellar albums—most recently 2018's "Here If You Listen." It's astonishing how well preserved his voice is and his new songs are among the best he's ever recorded as a solo artist, like this track "Glory" from the 2018 record.

    Even better, just yesterday, at 78, Croz launched a new podcast "Freak Flag Flying" in conversation with the great writer Steve Silberman. I highly recommend it. 
    I invite you to email me at aschwartz@csis.org and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz
    The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Emma Colbran, Caleb Diamond, and Brad Honigberg.

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