Fwd: The Lid: Mathletes

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From: The Lid <email@mail.nbcnews.com>
Date: Thu, Apr 7, 2016 at 12:07 AM
Subject: The Lid: Mathletes
To: pascal.alter@gmail.com

Forward this email to a friend April 6, 2016 Tune in to Meet the Press with Chuck Todd, Sundays on NBC News Welcome to The Lid, your afternoon dose of the 2016 ethos… Brace yourselves, America. If they're like us, a significant percentage of the pundits speculating about desperately important delegate calculations got to their lot in life in spite of spending their entire adolescence conspicuously avoiding having to learn math. Running the Numbers on the 2016 GOP Battle Wed, 06 Apr 2016 21:39:00 GMT From Carrie Dann and Andrew Rafferty After a late night in Wisconsin, we're pulling out our calculators and spreadsheets once more to figure out exactly what kind of margins Donald Trump will need to hit that magic number of 1,237 to clinch the GOP nomination *before* Cleveland. There's a lot of breathless speculation -- and remember that the next contest in question doesn't happen for two weeks and the whole shebang isn't over until June -- so let's lay out what we do and don't know. 1) Trump's loss in Wisconsin, where he picked up just six delegates, makes it less likely that he'll get to the 1,237 threshold. It's now going to be a *very* tough path for him, but it's still a tad too early yet to say with absolute certainty that the door is completely closed on the possibility. 2) Trump will have to perform exceptionally well in the delegate-rich states of New York and California, as well as picking up big chunks of support in states like New Jersey (which is winner-take-all) and West Virginia and Connecticut to have a prayer of getting close to the threshold. And the pressure will be on for a strong performance in Indiana, a state where we don't yet have any reliable polling. 3) The margins will matter. Remember that Trump will have the opportunity to go fishing in the pool of more than 100 unbound delegates during the weeks between the final contests on June 7 and the convention. If he's only 20, 30 or 40 some votes short, he could successfully lock down enough commitments to come into Cleveland confident of a first ballot win. If we wake up on June 8 and Trump is 80 or 100 delegates short, that's when the second ballot drama will explode into the foreground.  Click for more. Latest Stories 1 in 3 GOP Voters Wouldn't Vote for Cruz or Trump: Poll Amid fierce clashes between Donald Trump and Ted Cruz, one out of three Republicans voting in Wisconsin said they would abandon the party if either ca  Click for more. White House Increasingly Pushing Back Against Trump Twice in the last week President Obama has made forceful statements decrying the GOP front-runner's positions.  Click for more. Cruz Defends 'New York Values' Comment in New York Republican presidential candidate Ted Cruz is asked about a past comment he made about "New York values" while speaking with the media in Ne  Click for more. Six Charts to Explain the Wisconsin Primary Results Sens. Bernie Sanders and Ted Cruz had a big night Tuesday in Wisconsin, winning the Democratic and Republican primaries, respectively.  Click for more. FOR THE RECORD… "To be honest, what I spoke at home was Spanglish." Ted Cruz to a Spanish-language questioner. TOMORROW'S SKED Bernie Sanders campaigns in Philadelphia. John Kasich is campaigning in Brooklyn with Montel Williams. Ted Cruz is in Scotia, New York. More News Cruz Says Trump Is 'Very Angry' After Wisconsin Loss Sanders Gets the Win But Gains Little From Wisconsin Blow-by-Blow: Relive the Action From Wisconsin Primary Bill Clinton: GOP Trades Insults Like a 'Rap Tune' Meet the 'Frenemies' of Donald Trump Clinton Takes Swipe at GOP Contenders at Labor Union Event You_��re receiving The Lid from NBC News Politics. Share this with your family and friends and keep them up to date. Share now Follow Us   Privacy  | NBC NEWS, 30 Rockefeller Plaza, New York, NY 10112